Research Seminar Series in Statistics and Mathematics

Ort: Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien D4.4.008 am 22. Juni 2018 Startet um 09:00 Endet um 10:30

Veranstalter Institut für Statistik und Mathematik

John M. Maheu (DeGroote School of Business, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada) about “Nonparametric Dynamic Conditional Beta”

The Institute for Statistics and Mathematics (Department of Finance, Accounting and Statistics) cordially invites everyone interested to attend the talks in our Research Seminar Series, where internationally renowned scholars from leading universities present and discuss their (working) papers.

The list of talks for the summer term 2018 is available via the following link: <link en statmath resseminar>Summer Term 2018


Abstract:


This paper derives a dynamic conditional beta representation using a Bayesian semiparametric multivariate GARCH model. The conditional joint distribution of excess stock returns and market excess returns are modeled as a countably infinite mixture of normals. This allows for deviations from the elliptic family of distributions. Empirically we find the time-varying beta of a stock nonlinearly depends on the contemporaneous value of excess market returns. In highly volatile markets, beta is almost constant, while in stable markets, the beta coefficient can depend asymmetrically on the market excess return.


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