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NOeG 2008 - Annual Meeting of the Austrian Economic Association
Vienna, 23-24 May, 2008

FRIDAY, May 23, 2008

Parallel Sessions (I)

S1.1 - EMU I: Monetary Policy

14:00 - 16:00, S. 5.48 (D) Chair: WOLTERS Jürgen

S1.1-1

ECB vs. Council vs. Commission: Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in the EMU when Cyclical Conditions Are Uncertain

FABIO BALBONI, MARCO BUTI, MARTIN LARCH

S1.1-2

Is a Unified Macroeconomic Policy Necessarily Better for a Common Currency Area?

ANSGAR BELKE, DANIEL GROS

S1.1-3

The Stress of Having a Single Monetary Policy in Europe

JAN-EGBERT STURM, TIMO WOLLMERSHÄUSER

S1.1-4

M3 money demand and excess liquidity in the euro area

CHRISTIAN DREGER, JUERGEN WOLTERS

S1.2 - EMU I: Monetary Policy

14:00 - 16:00, S. 5.44 (B) Chair: KNELL Markus

S1.2-1

The Maastricht Inflation Criterion: What is the Effect of Expansion of the European Union?

JOHN LEWIS, KARSTEN STAEHR

S1.2-2

Bank Portfolios and the Bank Lending Channel in Austria

JOHANN BURGSTALLER

S1.2-3

The Impact of Reference Norms on Inflation Persistence When Wages are Staggered: Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Results

MARKUS KNELL, ALFRED STIGLBAUER

S1.3 - EMU II: Fiscal Policy and Policy Coordination

14:00 - 16:00, S. 5.46 (C) Chair: LEWIS John

S1.3-1

Defying the 'Juncker’s Curse’: Can Reformist Governments Be Re-elected?

MARCO BUTI, ALESSANDRO TURRINI, PAUL VAN DEN NOORD, PIETRO BIROLI

S1.3-2

The Growth of Government Expenditures in the Long Run: Is Austria Subject to “Wagner’s Law”?

REINHARD NECK, MICHAEL GETZNER

S1.3-3

Did Fiscal Policymakers Know What They Were Doing? Re-Assessing Fiscal Policy in Europe Using Real Time Data

KERSTIN BERNOTH, ANDREW HUGHES HALLETT, JOHN LEWIS

S1.3-4

Early Warning or Just Wise After the Event? The Problem of Using Cyclically Adjusted Budget Deficits for Fiscal Surveillance

ANDREW HUGHES HALLETT, RASMUS KATTAI, JOHN LEWIS

S1.4 - EMU II: Fiscal Policy and Policy Coordination

14:00 - 16:00, S. 5.43 (A) Chair: DEVEREUX Michael P.

S1.4-1

Optimal Fiscal Policy Rule in a Small Open Economy with Endogenous Dollarization

LUIS PALACIOS-SALGUERO

S1.4-2

Taxing deficits to restrain government spending and foster
capital accumulation

NIKOLAI STÄHLER

S1.4-3

The Open Method of Coordination (OMC) as an Evolutionary Game

ANA B. ANIA, ANDREAS WAGENER

S1.4-4

Increased efficiency through consolidation and formula apportionment in the European Union?

MICHAEL P. DEVEREUX, SIMON LORETZ

S1.5 - EMU III: Exchange Rate Policy

14:00 - 16:00, S. 5.47 (C) Chair: BADINGER Harald

S1.5-1

Forecasting euro exchange rates: How much does model averaging help?

JESUS CRESPO CUARESMA

S1.5-2

Price Level Convergence in Europe: Did the Introduction of the Euro Matter?

JESUS CRESPO CUARESMA, BALAZS EGERT, MARIA SILGONER

S1.5-3

From Austrian Shilling to the Euro: Consumer Adaptation Strategies

BERNADETTE KAMLEITNER, EVA HOFMANN, ERICH KIRCHLER

S1.5-4

Country Size and the Trade Effects of the Euro

HARALD BADINGER, FRITZ BREUSS

S1.6 - EMU III: Exchange Rate Policy

14:00 - 16:00, S. 5.45 (B) Chair: FRÖMMEL Michael

S1.6-1

Welfare Effects of the Euro Cash Changeover

CHRISTOPH WUNDER, JOHANN SCHWARZE, GERHARD KRUG, BODO HERZOG

S1.6-2

An Economic Analysis of the Single Euro Payments Area (SEPA)

GUIDO SCHAEFER

S1.6-3

The dynamic of Beliefs: Introduction of the Euro

PAULINA GRANADOS ZAMBRANO

S1.6-4

Macroeconomic announcements, communication and order flow on the Hungarian foreign exchange market

MICHAEL FRÖMMEL, NORBERT KISS M., KLARA PINTER

S1.7 – International Finance / International Macro

14:00 - 16:00, S. 1.12 (B) Chair: FIDRMUC Jarko

S1.7-1

Revealing the Preferences of the US Federal Reserve

PELIN ILBAS

S1.7-2

Integrated with Their Feet: Cross-Border Lending at the German-Austrian Border

JARKO FIDRMUC, CHRISTA HAINZ

Parallel Sessions (II)

S2.1 - International Trade

16:15 - 18:00, S. 5.48 (D) Chair: TONDL Gabriele

S2.1-1

Horizontal versus Vertical Interdependences in Multinational Activity

HARALD BADINGER, PETER EGGER

S2.1-2

Firm Growth in Multinational Corporate Groups

HARALD OBERHOFER, MICHAEL PFAFFERMAYR

S2.1-3

Does Trade Facilitation Matter in Bilateral Trade?

CHAHIR ZAKI

S2.1-4

Sectoral productivity and spillover effects of FDI in Latin America

GABRIELE TONDL, JORGE A. FORNERO

S2.2 - International Trade

16:15 - 18:00, S. 5.44 (B) Chair: MOSER Christoph

S2.2-1

International Outsourcing, Firm Performance and Employment – Evidence from German Establishment Data

CHRISTOPH MOSER, DIETER URBAN, BEATRICE WEDER DI MAURO

S2.2-2

Policies to attract Foreign Direct Investment: An industry-level analysis

CHRISTIAN BELLAK, MARKUS LEIBRECHT, ROBERT STEHRER

S2.2-3

Firm Heterogeneity and Comparative Advantage:
Evidence on French Firm’s Response to the Entry of Turkey in the European Customs Union

INES BUONO

S2.2-4

International Competitiveness, Job Creation and Job Destruction - An Establishment Level Study of German Job Flows

CHRISTOPH MOSER, DIETER URBAN, BEATRICE WEDER DI MAURO

S2.3 - International Trade

16:15 - 18:00, S. 5.46 (C) Chair: DLUHOSCH Barbara

S2.3-1

The Effect of Foreign Affiliate Employment on Wages, Employment, and the Wage Share in Austria

ÖZLEM ONARAN

S2.3-2

An Analysis on the Determinants of Indian Machine tool Exports

RIJESH RAJU

S2.3-3

Impact of EU Anti-dumping measure on Third Country

LUDO CUYVERS, WEIFENG ZHOU

S2.3-4

The Paradox of Weakness in International Trade Negotiations

BARBARA DLUHOSCH, NIKOLAI ZIEGLER

S2.4 – International Finance / International Macro

16:15 - 18:00, S. 5.43 (A) Chair: KUKK Kalle

S2.4-1

Capital Liberalization and the U.S. External Imbalance

ELVIRA PRADES, KATRIN RABITSCH

S2.4-2

The implications of the asymmetric price rigidity for the monetary policy in an open economy: A cross-country evidence

VICTORIA DOBRYNSKAYA

S2.4-3

Global Impact of a Shift in Foreign Reserves to Euros

FRITZ BREUSS, WERNER ROEGER, JAN IN'TVELD

S2.4-4

Have Growth Perspectives Improved in Europe under Stability and Growth Pact?

KALLE KUKK

S2.5 – Macroeconomics

16:15 - 18:00, S. 5.47 (C) Chair: STOCKHAMMER Engelbert

S2.5-1

Do Menu Costs Make Prices Sticky?

THOMAS EIFE

S2.5-2

Forecasting with DSGE models: The role of nonlinearities

PAUL PICHLER

S2.5-3

Demand effects of the falling wage share in Austria

ENGELBERT STOCKHAMMER, STEFAN EDERER

S2.5-4

Globalization and the effects of changes in functional income distribution on aggregate demand in Germany

ENGELBERT STOCKHAMMER, ECKHARD HEIN, LUCAS GRAFL

S2.6 – Macroeconomics and Growth

16:15 - 18:00, S. 5.45 (B) Chair: ZULEHNER Christine

S2.6-1

Was Weber Wrong? A Human Capital Theory Of Protestant Economic History

SASCHA O. BECKER, LUDGER WOESSMANN

S2.6-2

Child Mortality Decline, Inequality and Economic Growth

TAMARA FIORONI

S2.6-3

Determinants of regional growth in Hungary

ANNA IARA

S2.6-4

Determinants of declining prices in memory industries: learning-by-doing vs. market structure

RALPH SIEBERT, CHRISTINE ZULEHNER

S2.7 – Public Economics

16:15 - 18:00, S. 1.12 (B) Chair: KOH Hyun-Ju

S2.7-1

Effective Taxation of Top Incomes in Germany, 1992-2002

STEFAN BACH, GIACOMO CORNEO, VIKTOR STEINER

S2.7-2

Centrist’s Curse? An Electoral Competition Model with Credibility Constraints

SELIM JÜRGEN ERGUN

S2.7-3

The Role of Technological Spillovers in an Uneven Subsidy Competition Game

RAINALD BORCK, HYUN-JU KOH, MICHAEL PFLÜGER



SATURDAY, May 24, 2008

Parallel Sessions (III)

S3.1 – Macroeconomics and Growth / Business Cycle

09:00 - 11:00, S. 5.48 (D) Chair: ROOS Michael W.M.

S3.1-1

Structural Convergence of European Countries

NICOLE HÖHENBERGER, CLAUDIA SCHMIEDEBERG

S3.1-2

China in the World Economy: Dynamic Correlation Analysis of Business Cycles

JARKO FIDRMUC, LIKKA KORHONEN, IVANA BATOROVA

S3.1-3

An estimated two-country DSGE model of Austria and the Euro Area

FRITZ BREUSS, KATRIN RABITSCH

S3.1-4

As if or what? Expectations and optimization in a simple macroeconomic environment

MICHAEL W.M. ROOS, WOLFGANG J. LUHAN

S3.2 – Climate Change / Regional Economics / Tourism

09:00 - 11:00, S. 5.44 (B)

S3.3 – Econometrics and Algorithms 09:00 - 11:00, S. 5.46 (D) Chair: HUELSEWIG Oliver S3.3-1

The Short and Long-run Interdependencies Between the
Eurozone and the U.S.A.

PAUL GAGGL, SERGUEI KANIOVSKI, KLAUS PRETTNER, THOMAS URL

S3.3-2

Detecting an endogenous dummy variable in a bivariate probit model: A response surface analysis

JOHANNES JAENICKE

S3.3-3

Forecasting Euro Area Quarterly Real GDP - Optimal Pooling of Information

OLIVER HUELSEWIG, JOHANNES MAYR, TIMO WOLLMERSHAEUSER

S3.4 – Econometrics and Algorithms / Microeconomics

09:00 - 11:00, S. 5.43 (A) Chair: BORSKY Stefan

S3.4-1

Combined Forecasts in the Presence of Structural Breaks

DIRK ULBRICHT

S3.4-2

Does it pay to be nice? Personality and earnings in the UK

Guido Heineck

S3.4-3

Estimating Risk-taking Behaviour in Risky Sports: A Hedonic Market Approach

STEFAN BORSKY, PAUL A. RASCHKY

S3.5 – Labor Markets / Migration

09:00 - 11:00, S. 5.47 (C) Chair: JAAG Christian

S3.5-1

Just-cause Provisions and Social Criteria for
Redundancy with Worker Adverse Selection

FLORIAN BAUMANN

S3.5-2

Regional female labour force participation: Empirical evidence for Austria

MARTIN FALK, THOMAS LEONI

S3.5-3

Evaluating job search programmes in Austria – further evidence

HELMUT HOFER, RICHARD SELLNER, ANDREA WEBER

S3.5-4

Pension Reform, Retirement and Life-Cycle Unemployment:
An Analysis of Pension Reform in Austria

CHRISTIAN JAAG, CHRISTIAN KEUSCHNIGG, MIRELA KEUSCHNIGG

S3.6 – Labor Markets / Migration

09:00 - 11:00, S. 5.45 (B) Chair: HUBER Peter

S3.6-1

Firm productivity, workforce age and vocational training in Austria

BERNHARD MAHLBERG, INGA FREUND, ALEXIA PRSKAWETZ

S3.6-2

Education, Unemployment and Migration

WOLFGANG EGGERT, TIM KRIEGER, VOLKER MEIER

S3.6-3

Employer-Provided Training during Transition:
Empirical Evidence from Ukraine

LENA KOERBER, ALEXANDER MURAVYEV

S3.6-4

The Willingness to Migrate and to Commute in a Cross-Border Context: Evidence from EU External Borders

PETER HUBER, KLAUS NOWOTNY

S3.7 – Labor Markets / Migration and Public Economics

09:00 - 11:00, S. 1.12 (B) Chair: RIEDL Aleksandra

S3.7-1

Would Increased Financial Aid for Students Raise Enrolment into Higher Education: New Evidence for Germany

Viktor Steiner, Katharina Wrohlich

S3.7-2

Parental Labor Market Success and Children’s Education Attainment

Carsten Ochsen

S3.7-3

Testing the tax competition theory: How elastic are national tax bases in Western Europe?

ALEKSANDRA RIEDL, SILVIA ROCHA AKIS

Parallel Sessions (IV)

S4.1 – Labor Markets / Migration

14:00 - 16:30, S. 5.48 (D) Chair: BÖHEIM René

S4.1-1

Clash of Career and Family: Fertility Decisions after Job Displacement

EMILIA DEL BONO, ANDREA WEBER, RUDOLF WINTER-EBMER

S4.1-2

Unemployment and Unemployment Duration

CARSTEN OCHSEN

S4.1-3

Labour Market Institutions, Competition, and Macroeconomic Performance in the Euro Area

KLAUS WEYERSTRASS, JOHANNES JEANICKE

S4.1-4

Labor Market Institutions and Macroeconomic Volatility in a Panel of OECD Countries

FABIO RUMLER, JOHANN SCHARLER

S4.1-5

Work, retirement and life expectancy: Evidence from changes to retirement from strenuous work

RENÉ BÖHEIM, HELMUT MAHRINGER

S4.2 – Risk and Financial Markets

14:00 - 16:30, S. 5.44 (B) Chair: MOSER Christoph

S4.2-1

Age effects in monetary valuation of mortality risks - The relevance of individual risk exposure

ANDREA LEITER

S4.2-2

European Stock Market Integration:
Panel Data Convergence and Stationary Analysis

NESRINE MARAOUB

S4.2-3

The Impact of Political Risk on Sovereign Bond Spreads - Evidence from Latin America

CHRISTOPH MOSER

S4.3 – Risk and Financial Markets

14:00 - 16:30, S. 5.46 (C) Chair: WÖLFLE Marco

S4.3-1

Are Euro Cash holdings in Central and Eastern Europe Driven by Experience or Anticipation? Results from an OeNB Survey

DORIS RITZBERGER-GRUENWALD, HELMUT STIX

S4.3-2

Euroization: What Factors drive its Persistence?
Household Data Evidence for Croatia, Slovenia and Slovakia

HELMUT STIX

S4.3-3

Risk Premia, Carry-Trade Dynamics, and Speculative Efficiency of Currency Markets

CHRISTIAN WAGNER

S4.3-4

Price Discovery for Cross-Listed Securities from Emerging Eastern European Countries

MARCO WÖLFLE

S4.4 – Microeconomics

14:00 - 16:30, S. 5.43 (A) Chair: LÖFFLER Clemens

S4.4-1

N-Player Preemption Games

ROSSELLA ARGENZIANO, PHILLIP SCHMIDT-DENGLER

S4.4-2

Information and Beliefs in a Repeated Normal-Form Game

DIETMAR FEHR, DOROTHEA KÜBLER, DAVID DANZ

S4.4-3

The Effect of Joint Custody on Marriage and Divorce

MARTIN HALLA

S4.4-4

The Tragedy of Patriotism: On the Creation of Identity in Conflicts

MARTIN KOLMAR, ANDREAS WAGENER

S4.4-5

So test therefore, who commits to strategy

CLEMENS LÖFFLER

S4.5 – Microeconomics / Industrial Organization

14:00 - 16:30, S. 5.47 (C) Chair: RASCH Alexander

S4.5-1

S-shaped probability weighting and hyperbolic preference reversal - an intimate relationship

HERBERT WALTHER

S4.5-2

Before Death Do Us Part: On Premature Contract Breakup and Partial Property Rights

BERNHARD GANGLMAIR

S4.5-3

Internal decision-making rules and collusion

ALEXANDER RASCH, ACHIM WAMBACH

S4.6 – Industrial Organization

14:00 - 16:30, S. 5.45 (B) Chair: HAMMERSCHMIDT Anna

S4.6-1

Version compatibility and strategy against entry

NAOKI KOJIMA

S4.6-2

Choice between Cartels and Horizontal Mergers

POONAM MEHRA

S4.6-3

A network model of price dispersion

GIACOMO PASINI, PAOLO PIN, SIMON WEIDEHOLZER

S4.6-4

R&D cooperation with unit-elastic demand

GEORG GÖTZ, ANNA HAMMERSCHMIDT

S4.7 – Microeconomics / Industrial Organization

14:00 - 16:30, S. 1.12 (B) Chair: HESSE Nils

S4.7-1

Aid, Catastrophes and the Samaritan's Dilemma
The Humanitarian Way of Paving the Road for the Apocalyptic Horsemen?

PAUL A. RASCHKY, MANIJEH SCHWINDT

S4.7-2

Parent Firms, Subsidiaries and Investment

KLAUS GUGLER, ESTHER KALKBRENNER, EVGENI PEEV

S4.7-3

Inequity Aversion and Individual Behavior in Public Good Games: An Experimental Investigation

ASTRID DANNENBERG, THOMAS RIECHMANN, BODO STURM, CARSTEN VOGT

S4.7-4

Managerial compensation in a two-level gift-exchange experiment

NILS HESSE, M. FERNANDA RIVAS 

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